Strafe’s NFL Picks For Week 5


***UPDATE*** Picks updated Sunday at 11:52 AM EDT with news that Lions WR Calvin Johnson is inactive against Green Bay.

Every week, I pick against the Cleveland Browns. It doesn’t matter if they’re giving points or taking points. I pick against the Browns every week.

And every week, I lose.

Well, not EVERY week. I picked against them Week 1, when they were giving 1/2 point to the Dolphins at home. Miami’s 23-10 further solidified my future decision to pick against the Browns.

Why do I pick against the Browns? Simple.¬†They’re the Browns.

Ask yourself… how many times in the last three years have you felt REALLY comfortable picking the Browns?

Even after they beat me three straight weeks, I felt hella confident picking against them this week at home against the Bills, for these reasons:

  1. They’re the Browns.
  2. IMHO, the Browns shouldn’t give 4.5 to anyone.
  3. They’re the Browns.

Of course, what happens last night? Brown 37, Bills 24 (A game in which the Bills led 24-17 halfway through the 3rd quarter)

Partially due to the guy above in white, Jeff Tuel.

If Manuel plays the entire game, the Bills probably cover. But he didn’t. And they didn’t.

Maybe God is trying to tell me something. And this is the same God who hates Cleveland.

Next week, the Browns host Detroit. We’ll see who I pick then.

Here are the Week 5 picks. (Home team in CAPS)

Buffalo (+4.5) over CLEVELAND (Bollocks)
Seattle (-2.5) over INDIANAPOLIS
CINCINNATI (-1.5) over New England
Baltimore (+2.5) over MIAMI
Jacksonville (+11.5) over ST. LOUIS (Jacksonville, if you don’t cover against THESE guys…)
Kansas City (-2.5) over TENNESSEE
New Orleans (+0.5) over CHICAGO (UPSET SPECIAL: The Saints win outright.)
GREEN BAY (-6.5) over Detroit
NY GIANTS (-2.5) over Philadelphia
Carolina (-1.5) over ARIZONA
DALLAS (+7.5) over Denver (UNDERDOG SPECIAL: This is the best pass rush Peyton’s seen all year.)
OAKLAND (+4.5) over San Diego
SAN FRANCISCO (-6.5) over Houston
ATLANTA (-8.5) over NY Jets (LOCK OF THE WEEK: Falcons 31, Jets 10)

Last Week: 6-9
This Season: 23-40